Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 15 at the 80

Dallas Cowboys 13 – New York Giants 3

(1:37) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 47 yards to NYG 33, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 13-O.Beckham to NYG 36 for 3 yards (45-R.Smith).

The Three Options

GO -2.77 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.74 EP
73% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 80, worth -4.48 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model