Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 10 at the 59

Dallas Cowboys 10 – New York Giants 0

(:18) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 36 yards to NYG 23, Center-91-L.Ladouceur, downed by DAL-30-A.Brown.

The Three Options

GO -1.08 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 49, worth +2.96 EP
69% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 59, worth -2.88 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (76 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model