Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 8 at the 67

Seattle Seahawks 3 – Chicago Bears 10

(10:50) 4-M.Dickson punts 51 yards to CHI 16, Center-69-T.Ott. 29-T.Cohen pushed ob at CHI 23 for 7 yards (49-SM.Griffin).

The Three Options

GO -1.78 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +1.98 EP
64% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 67, worth -3.87 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model