Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 6 at the 65

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Dallas Cowboys 0

(:06) 4-M.Dickson punts 45 yards to DAL 20, Center-69-T.Ott, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.01 EP

40% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 59, worth +2.43 EP
60% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 65, worth -3.29 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (82 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model