Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 9 at the 74

Dallas Cowboys 3 – Seattle Seahawks 14

(1:01) 6-C.Jones punts 50 yards to SEA 24, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 16-T.Lockett ran ob at SEA 42 for 18 yards (91-L.Ladouceur).

The Three Options

GO -1.75 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.19 EP
64% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 74, worth -3.38 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model