Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 17 at the 69

Seattle Seahawks 17 – Dallas Cowboys 3

(9:08) 4-M.Dickson punts 40 yards to DAL 29, Center-69-T.Ott, fair catch by 10-T.Austin.

The Three Options

GO -2.23 EP

25% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +2.78 EP
75% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 69, worth -3.89 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model