Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 6 at the 71

Los Angeles Chargers 6 – Los Angeles Rams 14

(14:47) 8-D.Kaser punts 50 yards to LA 21, Center-47-M.Windt. 19-J.Natson to LA 28 for 7 yards (31-A.Phillips).

The Three Options

GO -1.61 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.56 EP
56% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 71, worth -4.11 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model