Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 14 at the 89

Arizona Cardinals 3 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(9:36) 2-A.Lee punts 55 yards to SEA 34, Center-46-A.Brewer. 16-T.Lockett to ARI 48 for 18 yards (47-E.Turner).

The Three Options

GO -3.21 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 75, worth +1.25 EP
72% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 89, worth -4.93 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (106 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model