Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 19 at the 91

Arizona Cardinals 0 – Seattle Seahawks 0

(9:19) 2-A.Lee punts 47 yards to SEA 44, Center-46-A.Brewer. 16-T.Lockett to SEA 38 for -6 yards (20-D.Bucannon).

The Three Options

GO -3.64 EP

24% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 72, worth +1.21 EP
76% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 91, worth -5.17 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model