Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Jets 4th & 3 at the 67

New York Jets 3 – Chicago Bears 7

(5:32) 4-L.Edwards punts 32 yards to CHI 35, Center-42-T.Hennessy, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.12 EP

50% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 64, worth +1.50 EP
50% chance to fail: Chicago Bears takes over around their own 67, worth -3.75 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (84 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model