Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 8 at the 57

Los Angeles Chargers 12 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(4:55) 5-D.Jones punts 44 yards to SEA 13, Center-47-M.Windt, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -0.99 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 49, worth +2.69 EP
61% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 57, worth -3.39 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (74 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model