Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 8 at the 75

Seattle Seahawks 7 – Los Angeles Chargers 12

(2:17) 4-M.Dickson punts 57 yards to LAC 18, Center-69-T.Ott. 20-D.King to LAC 35 for 17 yards (49-SM.Griffin; 59-J.Martin).

The Three Options

GO -1.83 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.67 EP
61% chance to fail: Los Angeles Chargers takes over around their own 75, worth -4.10 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model