Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 6 at the 71

Dallas Cowboys 3 – Atlanta Falcons 3

(13:59) 6-C.Jones punts 40 yards to ATL 31, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 14-J.Hardy pushed ob at ATL 44 for 13 yards (14-L.Lenoir).

The Three Options

GO -1.51 EP

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.57 EP
54% chance to fail: Atlanta Falcons takes over around their own 71, worth -4.10 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model