Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Green Bay Packers 4th & 8 at the 77

Green Bay Packers 14 – Seattle Seahawks 10

(4:54) 6-J.Scott punts 47 yards to SEA 30, Center-43-H.Bradley, fair catch by 16-T.Lockett.

The Three Options

GO -2.15 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 69, worth +1.19 EP
59% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 77, worth -4.46 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (94 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model