Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 8 at the 63

Pittsburgh Steelers 0 – Jacksonville Jaguars 9

(1:49) 4-J.Berry punts 63 yards to end zone, Center-57-K.Canaday, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.24 EP

41% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 55, worth +1.91 EP
59% chance to fail: Jacksonville Jaguars takes over around their own 63, worth -3.41 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model