Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Cleveland Browns 4th & 7 at the 72

Cleveland Browns 17 – Carolina Panthers 20

(4:23) 4-B.Colquitt punts 47 yards to CAR 25, Center-47-C.Hughlett, fair catch by 23-K.Barner.

The Three Options

GO -1.74 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.76 EP
58% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 72, worth -4.23 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model