Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 6 at the 71

Philadelphia Eagles 9 – Dallas Cowboys 16

(6:18) (Punt formation) 1-C.Johnston punts 50 yards to DAL 21, Center-45-R.Lovato, fair catch by 11-C.Beasley.

The Three Options

GO -1.73 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.29 EP
58% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 71, worth -3.95 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model