Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 10 at the 75

Seattle Seahawks 14 – Arizona Cardinals 13

(:57) 4-M.Dickson punts 42 yards to ARI 33, Center-69-T.Ott. 12-P.Cooper to ARI 36 for 3 yards (35-M.Alexander).

The Three Options

GO -1.81 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.31 EP
61% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 75, worth -3.78 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model