Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 5 at the 75

Seattle Seahawks 21 – Arizona Cardinals 13

(:21) 4-M.Dickson punt is BLOCKED by 94-C.Malveaux, Center-69-T.Ott, RECOVERED by ARI-92-D.Gardeck at SEA 0. TOUCHDOWN.

The Three Options

GO -1.40 EP

50% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.36 EP
50% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 75, worth -4.19 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model