Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 9 at the 74

New York Giants 0 – Dallas Cowboys 7

(7:23) 9-R.Dixon punts 49 yards to DAL 25, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.92 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.91 EP
63% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 74, worth -4.22 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model