Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 New York Giants 4th & 14 at the 80

New York Giants 0 – Dallas Cowboys 0

(14:56) 9-R.Dixon punts 45 yards to DAL 35, Center-51-Z.DeOssie, fair catch by 10-T.Austin.

The Three Options

GO -2.38 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 66, worth +1.88 EP
69% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 80, worth -4.34 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model