Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 10 at the 84

Dallas Cowboys 35 – New York Giants 17

(2:00) (Punt formation) 6-C.Jones punts 50 yards to NYG 34, Center-91-L.Ladouceur. 21-J.Peppers to NYG 39 for 5 yards (35-K.Frazier; 48-J.Thomas).

The Three Options

GO -2.53 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 74, worth +0.34 EP
62% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 84, worth -4.26 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (101 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model