Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 8 at the 66

Seattle Seahawks 7 – Los Angeles Rams 6

(12:33) 4-M.Dickson punts 46 yards to LA 20, Center-69-T.Ott, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.19 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 58, worth +2.47 EP
62% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 66, worth -3.49 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model