Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 10 at the 62

Los Angeles Rams 17 – Cincinnati Bengals 10

(:09) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 52 yards to CIN 10, Center-44-J.McQuaide, downed by LA-44-J.McQuaide.

The Three Options

GO -0.90 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 52, worth +0.48 EP
67% chance to fail: Cincinnati Bengals takes over around their own 62, worth -1.59 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model