Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 15 at the 55

Los Angeles Rams 7 – Pittsburgh Steelers 7

(2:39) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 24 yards to PIT 31, Center-44-J.McQuaide, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.27 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 40, worth +3.09 EP
73% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 55, worth -2.86 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model