Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 10 at the 75

Los Angeles Rams 7 – Pittsburgh Steelers 14

(1:31) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 55 yards to PIT 20, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 10-R.Switzer.

The Three Options

GO -2.31 EP

35% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.26 EP
65% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 75, worth -4.22 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model