Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 5 at the 75

Pittsburgh Steelers 14 – Los Angeles Rams 7

(1:09) (Punt formation) 4-J.Berry punts 59 yards to LA 16, Center-57-K.Canaday. 19-J.Natson to LA 34 for 18 yards (44-T.Matakevich, 56-A.Chickillo).

The Three Options

GO -1.59 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.08 EP
55% chance to fail: Los Angeles Rams takes over around their own 75, worth -3.77 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model