Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Minnesota Vikings 4th & 14 at the 68

Minnesota Vikings 0 – Denver Broncos 17

(8:37) 2-B.Colquitt punts 52 yards to DEN 16, Center-58-A.Cutting, fair catch by 11-D.Spencer.

The Three Options

GO -1.65 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.79 EP
69% chance to fail: Denver Broncos takes over around their own 68, worth -3.67 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model