Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 9 at the 69

Cincinnati Bengals 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 0

(7:03) (Punt formation) 10-K.Huber punts 44 yards to PIT 25, Center-46-C.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.80 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.35 EP
68% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 69, worth -3.71 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model