Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 8 at the 80

Cincinnati Bengals 13 – Cleveland Browns 14

(5:07) 10-K.Huber punts 36 yards to CLE 44, Center-46-C.Harris. 25-D.Hilliard to CIN 46 for 10 yards (29-T.McRae; 82-C.Carter).

The Three Options

GO -2.56 EP

37% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 72, worth +0.97 EP
63% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 80, worth -4.61 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model