Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 14 at the 55

Los Angeles Rams 0 – Dallas Cowboys 0

(8:16) (Punt formation) 6-J.Hekker punts 45 yards to DAL 10, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 18-R.Cobb.

The Three Options

GO -1.59 EP

27% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 41, worth +2.86 EP
73% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 55, worth -3.25 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model