Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Arizona Cardinals 4th & 9 at the 74

Arizona Cardinals 7 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(:26) 4-A.Lee punts 34 yards to SEA 40, Center-46-A.Brewer, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.38 EP

36% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.23 EP
64% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 74, worth -4.45 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model