Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Pittsburgh Steelers 4th & 10 at the 60

Pittsburgh Steelers 10 – New York Jets 10

(11:46) 4-J.Berry punts 41 yards to NYJ 19, Center-57-K.Canaday, fair catch by 10-B.Berrios.

The Three Options

GO -1.53 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 50, worth +2.78 EP
69% chance to fail: New York Jets takes over around their own 60, worth -3.44 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (77 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model