Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Dallas Cowboys 4th & 6 at the 71

Dallas Cowboys 0 – Carolina Panthers 0

(13:46) 5-B.Anger punts 51 yards to CAR 20, Center-44-J.McQuaide, fair catch by 13-A.Erickson.

The Three Options

GO -1.33 EP

42% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +2.31 EP
58% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 71, worth -3.97 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (88 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model