Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 19 at the 76

Philadelphia Eagles 3 – Carolina Panthers 10

(5:58) 8-A.Siposs punts 16 yards to PHI 40, Center-45-R.Lovato, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.77 EP

26% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 57, worth +1.78 EP
74% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 76, worth -4.35 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (93 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model