Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 4 at the 69

Philadelphia Eagles 0 – Carolina Panthers 3

(10:22) 8-A.Siposs punts 64 yards to CAR 5, Center-45-R.Lovato, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -1.38 EP

49% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.42 EP
51% chance to fail: Carolina Panthers takes over around their own 69, worth -4.09 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (86 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model