Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Seattle Seahawks 4th & 18 at the 63

Seattle Seahawks 0 – Pittsburgh Steelers 7

(8:13) 4-M.Dickson punts 47 yards to PIT 16, Center-69-T.Ott. 14-R.McCloud to PIT 16 for no gain (25-T.Homer).

The Three Options

GO -1.89 EP

28% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 45, worth +2.66 EP
72% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 63, worth -3.69 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (80 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model