Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Carolina Panthers 4th & 9 at the 80

Carolina Panthers 3 – New York Giants 12

(15:00) 10-R.Winslow punts 34 yards to NYG 46, Center-44-J.Jansen, downed by CAR-27-K.Robinson.

The Three Options

GO -2.33 EP

39% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 71, worth +1.15 EP
61% chance to fail: New York Giants takes over around their own 80, worth -4.58 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (97 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model