Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cleveland Browns 4th & 4 at the 66

Cleveland Browns 3 – Pittsburgh Steelers 3

(:32) 7-J.Gillan punts 50 yards to PIT 16, Center-47-C.Hughlett. 14-R.McCloud ran ob at PIT 35 for 19 yards (7-J.Gillan).

The Three Options

GO -0.70 EP

52% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.11 EP
48% chance to fail: Pittsburgh Steelers takes over around their own 66, worth -2.63 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (83 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model