Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q3 Kansas City Chiefs 4th & 14 at the 68

Kansas City Chiefs 16 – Dallas Cowboys 6

(7:52) 5-T.Townsend punts 68 yards to end zone, Center-41-J.Winchester, Touchback.

The Three Options

GO -1.87 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 54, worth +2.68 EP
69% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 68, worth -3.89 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (85 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model