Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Carolina Panthers 4th & 10 at the 72

Carolina Panthers 7 – Miami Dolphins 21

(:59) 10-L.Edwards punts 40 yards to MIA 32, Center-44-J.Jansen, fair catch by 8-J.Holland.

The Three Options

GO -1.74 EP

33% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 62, worth +1.39 EP
67% chance to fail: Miami Dolphins takes over around their own 72, worth -3.29 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model