Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Las Vegas Raiders 4th & 8 at the 73

Las Vegas Raiders 7 – Dallas Cowboys 6

(6:23) 6-A.Cole punts 68 yards to DAL 5, Center-47-T.Sieg. 1-C.Wilson to DAL 7 for 2 yards (99-C.Ferrell).

The Three Options

GO -2.33 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.16 EP
62% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 73, worth -4.44 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model