Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Green Bay Packers 4th & 19 at the 91

Green Bay Packers 31 – Baltimore Ravens 24

(2:30) 7-C.Bojorquez punts 40 yards to GB 49, Center-46-S.Wirtel, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.90 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 72, worth +1.10 EP
69% chance to fail: Baltimore Ravens takes over around their own 91, worth -4.67 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (108 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model