Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Cincinnati Bengals 4th & 9 at the 74

Cincinnati Bengals 0 – Cleveland Browns 7

(14:12) 10-K.Huber punts 32 yards to CLE 42, Center-46-C.Harris, out of bounds.

The Three Options

GO -2.23 EP

38% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 65, worth +1.38 EP
62% chance to fail: Cleveland Browns takes over around their own 74, worth -4.46 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (91 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model