Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Philadelphia Eagles 4th & 12 at the 72

Philadelphia Eagles 20 – Dallas Cowboys 37

(12:54) 8-A.Siposs punts 24 yards to DAL 48, Center-45-R.Lovato, downed by PHI-45-R.Lovato. PHI-80-T.Jackson was injured during the play. He is Out.

The Three Options

GO -2.18 EP

32% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 60, worth +2.07 EP
68% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 72, worth -4.17 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (89 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model