Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 14 at the 55

Los Angeles Rams 21 – Arizona Cardinals 0

(2:53) 6-J.Hekker punts 45 yards to ARI 10, Center-42-M.Orzech, fair catch by 13-C.Kirk.

The Three Options

GO -0.98 EP

30% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 41, worth +3.20 EP
70% chance to fail: Arizona Cardinals takes over around their own 55, worth -2.74 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model