Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Denver Broncos 4th & 12 at the 55

Denver Broncos 3 – Seattle Seahawks 7

(13:23) 17-C.Waitman punts 36 yards to SEA 19, Center-46-J.Bobenmoyer, fair catch by 16-T.Lockett.

The Three Options

GO -1.30 EP

31% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 43, worth +2.87 EP
69% chance to fail: Seattle Seahawks takes over around their own 55, worth -3.14 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (72 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model