Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q4 Los Angeles Chargers 4th & 6 at the 62

Los Angeles Chargers 17 – Kansas City Chiefs 24

(4:05) 16-J.Scott punts 53 yards to KC 9, Center-47-J.Harris. 24-S.Moore to KC 15 for 6 yards (94-C.Rumph).

The Three Options

GO -0.81 EP

45% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 56, worth +1.73 EP
55% chance to fail: Kansas City Chiefs takes over around their own 62, worth -2.85 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (79 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model