Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4th & 6 at the 73

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 – Green Bay Packers 7

(:41) 5-J.Camarda punts 44 yards to GB 29, Center-97-Z.Triner, fair catch by 8-Am.Rodgers.

The Three Options

GO -1.45 EP

44% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 67, worth +1.86 EP
56% chance to fail: Green Bay Packers takes over around their own 73, worth -4.06 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (90 yards).

Chose PUNT ✓ matched the model