Decision Replay

Every real option on this 4th down, priced in expected points, the same math behind every call this site grades. ?

Q2 Los Angeles Rams 4th & 5 at the 75

Los Angeles Rams 10 – Dallas Cowboys 16

(2:29) (Punt formation) 11-R.Dixon pass short middle to 43-J.Gervase to LA 37 for 12 yards (57-L.Gifford).

The Three Options

GO -1.38 EP

What Happened

46% chance to convert: a fresh set of downs at the 70, worth +1.67 EP
54% chance to fail: Dallas Cowboys takes over around their own 75, worth -4.03 EP

KICK

Too far to price a realistic field-goal try from here (92 yards).

Chose GO ✓ matched the model